Morning Note: The New Low.
The stock market started the week roughly in-spite central bankers across the world taking various measures to curb the imminent collapse of the global markets. At open, we saw the U.S Futures market hit the day’s limit within the first 30 minutes of Trading. The markets continue to hold volatility and will likely get another thrashing as the United Kingdom goes into a lock-down. For now, investors remain skeptical of any optimism in the market, at least until there are signed of slowed global growth on the rate of infection of the Corona Virus.
The Nairobi Securities Exchange index hit below the 2000 basis point mark for the first time since 2001! This likewise affected the market capitalization, dropping to 1.94 trillion. The market remains with a potential downside; there little room for price decline, but in terms of expecting things to go up, it’s still a little to early at this point. As trading starts today, investors expect increased sell offs mostly in the banks.
The Scary part of this crisis is that it’s a health issue, limiting people from working, meaning it directly hits on those who are expected to drive economic growth, this is something the global economy wasn’t prepared for.
During these time, long term investors could starts buying into the market with a of 3-5 years view of the market.The bear run may last but a bull will emerge at the long run. Rather buy the dip than buy the climb. Counters to keep your eye on, the tier one banks, Equity Bank, KCB, Standard Chartered and the listed teleco, Safaricom. Long term investors have one opportunity to get into the market, these opportunities don’t come so often.
Here’s a brief of what’s moving markets today:
- S&P 500 futures rose 3.5% as of 12:15 p.m. in Tokyo. The S&P 500 Index fell 2.9% as of 4 p.m. in New York; the Dow Jones
- Industrial Average lost 3%.
- Topix index rose 2.7%.
- Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index rose 2.3%.
- Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index rose 3.4%
- Shanghai Composite gained 1.5%.
- MSCI Asia Pacific Index jumped 4.1%.
- The yen rose 0.8% to 110.37 per dollar.
- The euro gained 0.8% to $1.0812.
- The British pound gained 0.8% to $1.1637.
- China’s offshore yuan was at 7.0961 per dollar, up 0.4%.
- The yield on 10-year Treasuries rose about three basis points to 0.81%.
- Australia’s 10-year bond yield fell about two basis points to 0.89%.
- West Texas Intermediate crude rose 3.9% to $24.26 a barrel.
- Gold climbed 1.3% to $1,573.84 an ounce.